4 stories · 12 markets · RSS
How much the press wrote about Justice Department each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 24% |
| 31 Oct, 11:13 UTC | 24% |
| 31 Oct, 09:45 UTC | 23% |
| 31 Oct, 09:24 UTC | 25% |
| 31 Oct, 08:07 UTC | 26% |
| 31 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 27% |
| 31 Oct, 00:57 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 20:22 UTC | 27% |
| 30 Oct, 19:06 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 18:51 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 18:18 UTC | 26% |
| 30 Oct, 16:39 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 15:21 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 14:38 UTC | 28% |
| 30 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 29% |
| 30 Oct, 11:10 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Oct, 10:13 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 09:22 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Oct, 08:41 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Oct, 05:35 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 32% |
| 30 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 31% |
| 30 Oct, 02:16 UTC | 24% |
| 30 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Oct, 00:49 UTC | 25% |
| 30 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 26% |
| 29 Oct, 23:33 UTC | 27% |
| 29 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 25% |
| 29 Oct, 22:50 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 19:08 UTC | 26% |
| 29 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 26% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 07:05 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Oct, 05:44 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 01:09 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 27% |
| 28 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 27% |
| 28 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 27% |
| 28 Oct, 14:06 UTC | 26% |
| 28 Oct, 10:16 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 09:39 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 07:08 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 26% |
| 28 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 27% |
| 28 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 26% |
| 28 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 23% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 21:36 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 20% |
The Supreme Court permitted the Trump administration's agreement with Texas to terminate the rule that allowed judges to delay deportation proceedings.
Kalshi Before Trump's term ends 6%A federal judge issued a restraining order against the Justice Department's threats to election workers, while the 9th Circuit rejected an emergency bid to set aside 20,000 California ballots days before the midterms.
Kalshi Before 2030 22%Federal judges examine legal challenges to the Justice Department's criminal cases against former FBI officials linked to James Comey and the Hunter Biden probe.
Kalshi Yes 5% −4Federal prosecutors argue unsealing the warrant for Rep. Ilhan Omar’s home would jeopardize an ongoing criminal investigation into alleged marriage fraud.
Polymarket Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026? 24% −5 Required. We use your browser's storage to remember this choice, your light or dark
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