Before Trump's term ends
Implied probability 14%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 14% |
| 7 Oct, 09:59 UTC | 14% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to 'Yes' if the President suspends the writ of habeas corpus before January 20, 2029. It resolves to 'No' if this event does not occur by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about media bans for the triggering event, but only a suspension of habeas corpus counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 14%
- No 86%