DOJ Charges 28 in California Over Alleged Noncitizen Voting
Federal authorities arrested 11 individuals and filed criminal complaints against 28 green card holders, alleging they illegally registered to vote and cast ballots in the state.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by Fortune, 1h 37m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 32% |
| 20 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 32% |
| 19 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 40% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000? respond.
The story so far
7 publishers have covered this in 7 articles since 19 Oct 2026. Fortune published first, on 19 October at 17:15 UTC; The Guardian followed 1h 37m later. The most recent article, from Times of India, appeared on 20 October at 04:11 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Guardian (major outlet), NPR Politics (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), Fortune, Mother Jones, South China Morning Post, Times of India.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000? — the market puts it at 32%, with $869 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves based on the total number of valid votes cast in the 2026 California gubernatorial midterm election. The 'Yes' outcome occurs if that total falls between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. Readers often mistake the deadline for resolution, which is March 31, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET, rather than Election Day.
- Above 13.1M — the market puts it at 37%, with $200 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to "Yes" if the total number of votes cast in the California Governor General Election exceeds 13,100,000. It resolves to "No" if that total is 13,100,000 or fewer. Readers often mistake the deadline for when the vote count must be finalized versus when the official results are certified.
- Below 44 — the market puts it at 1%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Democrats win fewer than 44 seats in the 2026 California House elections. It resolves to No if they win 44 or more seats. Readers often mistake the deadline for the election date rather than the final certification of results.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000? at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- FortuneFeds arrest more than two dozen green card holders in California for allegedly voting, weeks before the midterms40%
- The GuardianDoJ charges 28 green card holders in California over alleged voter fraud40%
- Mother JonesTrump’s Voter Raids Have Begun40%
- South China Morning PostUS arrests over 2 dozen in California sweep targeting alleged non-citizen voters40%
- NPR PoliticsDOJ charges 28 in California with voting crimes as election tensions escalate40%
- The HillJustice Department targets and charges 28 alleged noncitizen California voters40%
- Times of IndiaTwo Indians among 28 green card holders charged with election fraud in California40%
- Current odds32%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Justice Department targets and charges 28 alleged noncitizen California voters The Hill ·
- DOJ charges 28 in California with voting crimes as election tensions escalate NPR Politics ·
- DoJ charges 28 green card holders in California over alleged voter fraud The Guardian ·
- Two Indians among 28 green card holders charged with election fraud in California Times of India
- US arrests over 2 dozen in California sweep targeting alleged non-citizen voters South China Morning Post
- Trump’s Voter Raids Have Begun Mother Jones
- Feds arrest more than two dozen green card holders in California for allegedly voting, weeks before the midterms Fortune
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will total votes cast in the 2026 midterm election for Governor of California be between 12,500,000 and 13,000,000? 32% −8
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Above 13.1M 37% +6
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Below 44 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Justice Department
- California