Yes
Why it moved: −8 points at 18:03 UTC, after The Hill: Comey lawyers fight for dismissal of third criminal prosecution — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 11:21 UTC | 5% |
| 30 Oct, 18:03 UTC | 1% |
| 29 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 10% |
| 28 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 10% |
| 28 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a sitting Supreme Court Justice is formally charged with a U.S. federal crime between now and January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the linked news story about emergency docket use as the triggering event, but only a formal criminal charge counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 5%
- No 95%