Before Jan 1, 2027
Why it moved: +18 points at 23:11 UTC, after The Hill: Justice Department pushes to keep Ilhan Omar search warrant under seal for now — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 18% |
| 28 Oct, 23:11 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Oct, 22:48 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the House holds any recorded vote on a resolution to expel Representative Ilhan Omar, or on related motions like tabling or referring that resolution, before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if no such recorded vote occurs within this timeframe.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 18%
- No 82%