Grand Jury Won't Indict Cassidy Hutchinson Over Jan. 6 Testimony Hot: Odds moved 12 points in 24 hours
Federal prosecutors in Washington, D.C., failed to secure an indictment against her regarding testimony about the Capitol riot.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by CBS News Politics, 28 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 9% |
| 27 Oct, 22:23 UTC | 10% |
| 27 Oct, 21:47 UTC | 11% |
| 27 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 23% |
| 27 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Oct, 04:47 UTC | 24% |
| 26 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Oct, 22:30 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 27% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 26% |
| 25 Oct, 15:25 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 30% |
| 24 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 28% |
| 24 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 29% |
| 24 Oct, 08:09 UTC | 31% |
| 24 Oct, 00:04 UTC | 28% |
| 23 Oct, 22:49 UTC | 35% |
| 23 Oct, 19:27 UTC | 33% |
| 23 Oct, 16:07 UTC | 31% |
| 23 Oct, 08:21 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Oct, 00:02 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Oct, 17:45 UTC | 32% |
| 22 Oct, 10:39 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Oct, 09:33 UTC | 32% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 31% |
| 22 Oct, 02:12 UTC | 30% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Cassidy Hutchinson respond.
The story so far
3 publishers have covered this in 3 articles since 27 Oct 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 27 October at 22:02 UTC; Axios followed 28 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian, appeared on 27 October at 22:40 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: CBS News Politics (major outlet), Axios (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet).
One prediction market prices this story:
- Cassidy Hutchinson — the market puts it at 9%, with $3k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Cassidy Hutchinson is formally charged with a federal crime between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if no such charge occurs by that deadline. Readers often mistake the news headline for a formal charge, but only an official indictment or criminal complaint counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Cassidy Hutchinson at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Cassidy Hutchinson 9% −12
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In this story
- Cassidy Hutchinson