Cassidy Hutchinson
Why it moved: +11 points at 19:58 UTC, after The Guardian US: DoJ seeks to charge ex-Trump aide who gave key testimony on January 6 attack — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 49% |
| 8 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 29% |
| 8 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 35% |
| 8 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 26% |
| 8 Oct, 19:24 UTC | 15% |
| 7 Oct, 18:33 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Cassidy Hutchinson is formally charged with a federal crime between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if no such charge occurs by that deadline. Readers often mistake the news headline for a formal charge, but only an official indictment or criminal complaint counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 49%
- No 51%