Al Jazeera analysis shows Israel's mainstream parties voting with the far right
An Al Jazeera analysis reveals how every party in the Knesset voted on measures affecting Palestinians.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 50% |
| 21 Oct, 01:45 UTC | 49% |
| 21 Oct, 01:17 UTC | 48% |
| 21 Oct, 00:56 UTC | 48% |
| 20 Oct, 23:42 UTC | 48% |
| 20 Oct, 22:59 UTC | 48% |
| 20 Oct, 21:41 UTC | 51% |
| 20 Oct, 21:27 UTC | 49% |
| 20 Oct, 20:38 UTC | 52% |
| 20 Oct, 19:07 UTC | 51% |
| 20 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 49% |
| 20 Oct, 16:34 UTC | 47% |
| 20 Oct, 16:20 UTC | 47% |
| 20 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 43% |
| 20 Oct, 14:01 UTC | 43% |
| 20 Oct, 13:45 UTC | 42% |
| 20 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 44% |
| 20 Oct, 12:53 UTC | 44% |
| 20 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 43% |
| 20 Oct, 09:32 UTC | 43% |
| 20 Oct, 09:12 UTC | 41% |
| 20 Oct, 08:15 UTC | 42% |
| 20 Oct, 07:56 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 40% |
| 20 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 45% |
| 19 Oct, 06:48 UTC | 52% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 21 Oct 2026. Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera published first, on 21 October at 05:24 UTC; News Feed followed 4h 35m later. The most recent article, from News Feed, appeared on 21 October at 10:00 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al Jazeera (major outlet), News Feed (major outlet).
One prediction market prices this story:
- Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? — the market puts it at 50%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 28 Oct 2026. The Bibi outcome wins if Likud, Otzma Yehudit, RZP-Zehut, Amcha Yisrael, United Torah Judaism, and Shas secure more Knesset seats than The Democrats, Yashar, Together, and Yisrael Beiteinu. The Opp. outcome wins if the latter group of parties secures more seats than the former.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Markets on this story
- Polymarket Israel Election: Which Bloc Wins More Seats? 50% +7
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In this story
- Israel
- Knesset