Benjamin Netanyahu
Implied probability 9%−1
24-hour volume$13k
Total volume$6.9M
Liquidity$6.9M
Resolves27 Oct 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 12 Nov, 16:01 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 15:47 UTC | 9% |
| 12 Nov, 14:18 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 11:41 UTC | 9% |
| 12 Nov, 11:18 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 08:03 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 06:49 UTC | 9% |
| 12 Nov, 06:15 UTC | 7% |
| 12 Nov, 05:48 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 05:29 UTC | 9% |
| 12 Nov, 04:55 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 04:28 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 00:59 UTC | 8% |
| 12 Nov, 00:25 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Nov, 23:58 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Nov, 22:59 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Nov, 22:06 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Nov, 21:24 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Nov, 19:20 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Nov, 17:57 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Nov, 16:46 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Nov, 14:51 UTC | 8% |
| 11 Nov, 13:45 UTC | 11% |
| 11 Nov, 10:12 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Nov, 05:42 UTC | 11% |
| 11 Nov, 04:21 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Nov, 03:29 UTC | 11% |
| 11 Nov, 02:34 UTC | 11% |
| 11 Nov, 02:27 UTC | 13% |
| 11 Nov, 01:26 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Nov, 00:30 UTC | 10% |
| 11 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 23:50 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Nov, 23:28 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 22:40 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Nov, 21:36 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Nov, 21:08 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 20:48 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 20:21 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 19:12 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 18:24 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 17:29 UTC | 13% |
| 10 Nov, 16:54 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 15:22 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 14:40 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Nov, 14:19 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 13:57 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Nov, 13:07 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 12:26 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 10:59 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Nov, 09:46 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Nov, 09:19 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Nov, 08:45 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Nov, 07:50 UTC | 12% |
| 10 Nov, 06:30 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 03:21 UTC | 11% |
| 10 Nov, 02:40 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | 9% |
| 10 Nov, 01:26 UTC | 6% |
| 10 Nov, 00:46 UTC | 8% |
| 10 Nov, 00:06 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Nov, 23:52 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Nov, 23:11 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Nov, 22:09 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Nov, 21:43 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Nov, 20:47 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Nov, 19:50 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Nov, 19:21 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Nov, 18:47 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Nov, 17:23 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Nov, 16:54 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Nov, 16:27 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Nov, 15:51 UTC | 7% |
| 9 Nov, 15:16 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Nov, 14:50 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Nov, 14:22 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Nov, 13:39 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Nov, 13:26 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Nov, 11:56 UTC | 8% |
| 9 Nov, 11:28 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Nov, 10:17 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Nov, 09:50 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Nov, 07:02 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Nov, 06:56 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Nov, 05:36 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Nov, 05:23 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Nov, 04:22 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 9% |
| 9 Nov, 02:06 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 12% |
| 9 Nov, 01:20 UTC | 10% |
| 9 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 11% |
| 9 Nov, 00:17 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Nov, 23:57 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Nov, 23:12 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Nov, 22:53 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Nov, 22:21 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Nov, 21:10 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 20:50 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Nov, 19:44 UTC | 11% |
| 8 Nov, 19:23 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 18:10 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 10% |
| 8 Nov, 17:29 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 16:47 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Nov, 15:54 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Nov, 14:53 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Nov, 13:59 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Nov, 13:20 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 12:59 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 12:27 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Nov, 11:06 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 10:28 UTC | 9% |
| 8 Nov, 09:46 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 08:04 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Nov, 07:50 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 07:09 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Nov, 06:34 UTC | 5% |
| 8 Nov, 06:27 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Nov, 04:23 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Nov, 03:49 UTC | 8% |
| 8 Nov, 03:22 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Nov, 02:42 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Nov, 02:21 UTC | 7% |
| 8 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Nov, 01:26 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Nov, 00:14 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 23:55 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Nov, 22:42 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 21:42 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 20:55 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 20:28 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 19:47 UTC | 9% |
| 7 Nov, 19:06 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 18:18 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 16:50 UTC | 8% |
| 7 Nov, 15:46 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 14:06 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 13:33 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 09:44 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 09:10 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 08:57 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 07:00 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 06:53 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 06:19 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 03:01 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 02:31 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 6% |
| 7 Nov, 01:41 UTC | 7% |
| 7 Nov, 00:52 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 23:47 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 22:35 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 21:59 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 21:16 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 20:39 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 17:27 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Nov, 16:43 UTC | 10% |
| 6 Nov, 16:28 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 14:41 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 14:26 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 13:35 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 13:27 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 12:37 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 12:22 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 11:45 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 11:04 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 10:27 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 07:03 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 06:21 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 05:46 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 05:25 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 04:49 UTC | 6% |
| 6 Nov, 03:58 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Nov, 02:52 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Nov, 02:29 UTC | 9% |
| 6 Nov, 01:38 UTC | 7% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 8% |
| 6 Nov, 00:12 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 21:49 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 7% |
| 5 Nov, 19:29 UTC | 6% |
| 5 Nov, 18:43 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Nov, 18:20 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 9% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 10% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 11% |
| 5 Nov, 16:21 UTC | 9% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Benjamin Netanyahu becomes Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 legislative election and meets all constitutional requirements before October 27, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not meet these conditions by that deadline. Readers often mistake the date of his UN General Assembly speech for the resolution deadline.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 92%