Polymarket Probes Suspicious Trades Ahead of Israeli Election Amid Regulatory Scrutiny
The prediction market investigates potential insider trading in Israel's election while facing renewed CFTC scrutiny over its U.S. operations.
FBI
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Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about FBI each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Ilhan Omar arrested by December 31, 2026?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 26% |
| 29 Oct, 19:08 UTC | 26% |
| 29 Oct, 18:21 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 26% |
| 29 Oct, 16:57 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 09:26 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 07:05 UTC | 18% |
| 29 Oct, 06:44 UTC | 20% |
| 29 Oct, 05:44 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 01:09 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 00:41 UTC | 20% |
| 28 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Oct, 20:59 UTC | 24% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 18:52 UTC | 27% |
| 28 Oct, 15:47 UTC | 27% |
| 28 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 27% |
| 28 Oct, 14:06 UTC | 26% |
| 28 Oct, 10:16 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 09:39 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 07:08 UTC | 25% |
| 28 Oct, 06:43 UTC | 26% |
| 28 Oct, 04:17 UTC | 27% |
| 28 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 26% |
| 28 Oct, 01:07 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 21% |
| 28 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Oct, 12:50 UTC | 21% |
| 27 Oct, 11:22 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Oct, 08:54 UTC | 25% |
| 27 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 24% |
| 27 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 23% |
| 27 Oct, 03:52 UTC | 22% |
| 26 Oct, 23:31 UTC | 21% |
| 26 Oct, 13:55 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Oct, 11:03 UTC | 19% |
| 26 Oct, 10:56 UTC | 18% |
| 26 Oct, 02:27 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 21:36 UTC | 19% |
| 25 Oct, 21:29 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Oct, 19:46 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Oct, 18:25 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 17:10 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Oct, 15:03 UTC | 21% |
| 25 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 20% |
| 25 Oct, 13:56 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 14:12 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 10:51 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 07:27 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 20% |
| 24 Oct, 03:51 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 01:25 UTC | 19% |
| 24 Oct, 00:34 UTC | 22% |
| 23 Oct, 23:57 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 19:57 UTC | 18% |
| 23 Oct, 19:04 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 20% |
| 23 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 21% |
| 23 Oct, 15:13 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 11:06 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 10:46 UTC | 27% |
| 23 Oct, 09:00 UTC | 26% |
| 23 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 26% |
Stories
Justice Dept Seeks to Keep Ilhan Omar Search Warrant Under Seal
Federal prosecutors argue unsealing the warrant for Rep. Ilhan Omar’s home would jeopardize the ongoing criminal investigation.
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