Congress Lame-Duck Session Begins With Hegseth Impeachment Effort

The story so far

2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 9 Nov 2026. Roll Call published first, on 9 November at 11:16 UTC; Just In News followed 24h 59m later. The most recent article, from Just In News, appeared on 10 November at 12:14 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: Just In News (major outlet), Roll Call.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Will the House impeach Pete Hegseth by June 30, 2027? — the market puts it at 72%, with $104 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jul 2027. For the outcome to be "Yes," the U.S. House of Representatives must adopt one or more articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth before June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to "No" if no such articles are adopted by that deadline, if Hegseth permanently leaves his office before any articles are passed, or if only the Senate trial or conviction occurs without House action.
• Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 3%, with $43k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Pete Hegseth is formally impeached before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he is not formally impeached by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his impeachment motion for the actual impeachment event.
• Will there be no House floor vote to impeach Hegseth by December 31? — the market puts it at 97%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. A Yes outcome requires zero recorded votes in favor of impeaching Pete Hegseth on the first House floor vote held by December 31, 2026. A No outcome occurs if at least one such vote takes place during that period. Readers often mistake procedural votes for the required floor vote or assume later votes count if the first one fails.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.