Will the House impeach Pete Hegseth by June 30, 2027?
Why it moved: +6 points at 12:33 UTC, after Just In News: 4 storylines to watch as Congress dives into lame-duck session — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 68% |
| 10 Nov, 21:50 UTC | 71% |
| 10 Nov, 20:54 UTC | 75% |
| 10 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 78% |
| 10 Nov, 16:25 UTC | 78% |
| 10 Nov, 15:43 UTC | 78% |
| 10 Nov, 15:13 UTC | 78% |
| 10 Nov, 14:48 UTC | 77% |
| 10 Nov, 13:22 UTC | 78% |
| 10 Nov, 12:33 UTC | 78% |
| 9 Nov, 12:33 UTC | 72% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
For the outcome to be "Yes," the U.S. House of Representatives must adopt one or more articles of impeachment against Pete Hegseth before June 30, 2027, at 11:59 PM ET. The market resolves to "No" if no such articles are adopted by that deadline, if Hegseth permanently leaves his office before any articles are passed, or if only the Senate trial or conviction occurs without House action.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 68%
- No 32%
Trade this market on Polymarket → Sponsored link: it carries our referral code. How the site is funded.