Before Jan 1, 2027
Implied probability 3%−1
24-hour volume$43k
Total volume$459k
Liquidity$459k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
On Polymarket: the same question is at 3%, level with Kalshi. See it on Polymarket · Every question both exchanges price
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 12 Nov, 15:06 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Nov, 14:24 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Nov, 12:04 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Nov, 07:29 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Nov, 06:02 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Nov, 05:35 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Nov, 04:28 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 3% |
| 12 Nov, 03:21 UTC | 4% |
| 12 Nov, 00:11 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 23:38 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Nov, 23:18 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 22:45 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Nov, 21:38 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 21:24 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 20:56 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 20:29 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 19:33 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 19:26 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Nov, 18:45 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 17:29 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 16:38 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 16:25 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 15:49 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 15:14 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 14:43 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 14:20 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 13:31 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 12:28 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 11:58 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 11:09 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 10:46 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Nov, 09:23 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 08:56 UTC | 3% |
| 11 Nov, 08:10 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 07:49 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 07:29 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 06:42 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 06:23 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 05:56 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 05:29 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 04:55 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 04:21 UTC | 4% |
| 11 Nov, 03:36 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 02:40 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Nov, 02:27 UTC | 6% |
| 11 Nov, 01:40 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Nov, 01:26 UTC | 5% |
| 11 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 7% |
| 11 Nov, 00:23 UTC | 6% |
| 10 Nov, 23:56 UTC | 4% |
| 10 Nov, 23:28 UTC | 23% |
| 10 Nov, 22:55 UTC | 72% |
| 10 Nov, 22:24 UTC | 69% |
| 10 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 70% |
| 10 Nov, 21:08 UTC | 68% |
| 10 Nov, 20:54 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 62% |
| 10 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 61% |
| 10 Nov, 19:12 UTC | 65% |
| 10 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 70% |
| 10 Nov, 18:24 UTC | 75% |
| 10 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 77% |
| 10 Nov, 17:29 UTC | 78% |
| 10 Nov, 16:54 UTC | 80% |
| 10 Nov, 16:25 UTC | 81% |
| 10 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 82% |
| 10 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 79% |
| 10 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 83% |
| 10 Nov, 13:22 UTC | 82% |
| 10 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 78% |
| 10 Nov, 12:26 UTC | 83% |
| 10 Nov, 11:48 UTC | 81% |
| 10 Nov, 11:19 UTC | 81% |
| 10 Nov, 10:59 UTC | 79% |
| 10 Nov, 06:43 UTC | 82% |
| 10 Nov, 06:09 UTC | 83% |
| 10 Nov, 05:22 UTC | 81% |
| 10 Nov, 04:42 UTC | 84% |
| 10 Nov, 04:15 UTC | 85% |
| 10 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 84% |
| 10 Nov, 03:28 UTC | 83% |
| 10 Nov, 02:47 UTC | 83% |
| 10 Nov, 02:14 UTC | 80% |
| 10 Nov, 01:53 UTC | 85% |
| 10 Nov, 01:26 UTC | 86% |
| 10 Nov, 00:53 UTC | 81% |
| 10 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 85% |
| 9 Nov, 23:52 UTC | 86% |
| 9 Nov, 22:29 UTC | 85% |
| 9 Nov, 21:21 UTC | 82% |
| 9 Nov, 20:11 UTC | 81% |
| 9 Nov, 19:00 UTC | 78% |
| 9 Nov, 17:50 UTC | 76% |
| 9 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 79% |
| 9 Nov, 15:31 UTC | 76% |
| 9 Nov, 14:15 UTC | 78% |
| 9 Nov, 13:05 UTC | 77% |
| 9 Nov, 11:56 UTC | 73% |
| 9 Nov, 10:47 UTC | 65% |
| 9 Nov, 09:36 UTC | 67% |
| 9 Nov, 08:30 UTC | 68% |
| 9 Nov, 07:23 UTC | 74% |
| 9 Nov, 06:16 UTC | 72% |
| 9 Nov, 05:09 UTC | 73% |
| 9 Nov, 04:02 UTC | 75% |
| 9 Nov, 02:54 UTC | 73% |
| 9 Nov, 01:46 UTC | 77% |
| 8 Nov, 23:25 UTC | 78% |
| 8 Nov, 22:15 UTC | 83% |
| 8 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 78% |
| 8 Nov, 18:50 UTC | 69% |
| 8 Nov, 17:44 UTC | 70% |
| 8 Nov, 16:34 UTC | 69% |
| 8 Nov, 15:28 UTC | 67% |
| 8 Nov, 14:19 UTC | 70% |
| 8 Nov, 10:59 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Nov, 09:46 UTC | 61% |
| 8 Nov, 08:38 UTC | 66% |
| 8 Nov, 05:10 UTC | 63% |
| 8 Nov, 04:02 UTC | 57% |
| 8 Nov, 02:55 UTC | 59% |
| 8 Nov, 01:47 UTC | 65% |
| 8 Nov, 00:40 UTC | 64% |
| 7 Nov, 23:29 UTC | 68% |
| 7 Nov, 22:22 UTC | 67% |
| 7 Nov, 21:15 UTC | 63% |
| 7 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 61% |
| 7 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 17:51 UTC | 54% |
| 7 Nov, 16:43 UTC | 48% |
| 7 Nov, 15:32 UTC | 47% |
| 7 Nov, 14:20 UTC | 51% |
| 7 Nov, 13:12 UTC | 56% |
| 7 Nov, 12:01 UTC | 51% |
| 7 Nov, 10:48 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 08:30 UTC | 51% |
| 7 Nov, 06:12 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 46% |
| 7 Nov, 03:52 UTC | 50% |
| 7 Nov, 02:24 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Nov, 22:49 UTC | 50% |
| 6 Nov, 21:38 UTC | 52% |
| 6 Nov, 20:31 UTC | 53% |
| 6 Nov, 19:25 UTC | 52% |
| 6 Nov, 18:19 UTC | 48% |
| 6 Nov, 17:12 UTC | 41% |
| 6 Nov, 14:56 UTC | 42% |
| 6 Nov, 13:49 UTC | 39% |
| 6 Nov, 10:20 UTC | 43% |
| 6 Nov, 09:09 UTC | 39% |
| 6 Nov, 07:59 UTC | 42% |
| 6 Nov, 06:49 UTC | 44% |
| 6 Nov, 04:27 UTC | 47% |
| 6 Nov, 03:15 UTC | 44% |
| 6 Nov, 02:07 UTC | 45% |
| 6 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 40% |
| 5 Nov, 23:44 UTC | 39% |
| 5 Nov, 22:32 UTC | 41% |
| 5 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 36% |
| 5 Nov, 20:20 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 17:58 UTC | 32% |
| 5 Nov, 16:51 UTC | 31% |
| 5 Nov, 15:41 UTC | 32% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Alert me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Pete Hegseth is formally impeached before January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he is not formally impeached by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about his impeachment motion for the actual impeachment event.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 3%
- No 97%