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How much the press wrote about Pete Hegseth each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by December 31?
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 33% |
| 30 Oct, 11:52 UTC | 33% |
| 30 Oct, 07:35 UTC | 30% |
| 30 Oct, 00:28 UTC | 28% |
| 29 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 29% |
| 29 Oct, 21:07 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 20:16 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 19:36 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 19:22 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 18:35 UTC | 31% |
| 29 Oct, 18:06 UTC | 32% |
| 29 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 33% |
| 29 Oct, 04:56 UTC | 34% |
| 29 Oct, 01:09 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Oct, 19:26 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Oct, 18:45 UTC | 37% |
| 28 Oct, 17:30 UTC | 38% |
| 28 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 34% |
| 28 Oct, 12:57 UTC | 34% |
| 28 Oct, 07:08 UTC | 34% |
| 28 Oct, 04:10 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Oct, 02:58 UTC | 37% |
| 28 Oct, 02:09 UTC | 37% |
| 28 Oct, 01:42 UTC | 36% |
| 28 Oct, 01:14 UTC | 35% |
| 28 Oct, 00:21 UTC | 34% |
| 27 Oct, 23:45 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Oct, 23:19 UTC | 35% |
| 27 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 36% |
| 27 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 37% |
| 27 Oct, 20:53 UTC | 40% |
| 27 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 37% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 37% |
| 27 Oct, 19:19 UTC | 39% |
| 27 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 37% |
| 27 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 31% |
| 27 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 29% |
| 27 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 27% |
| 27 Oct, 06:49 UTC | 26% |
| 26 Oct, 20:32 UTC | 27% |
| 26 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 27% |
| 26 Oct, 17:13 UTC | 29% |
| 26 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 29% |
| 26 Oct, 15:39 UTC | 28% |
| 26 Oct, 14:23 UTC | 27% |
| 26 Oct, 10:34 UTC | 27% |
| 26 Oct, 09:53 UTC | 26% |
| 26 Oct, 07:37 UTC | 27% |
| 26 Oct, 06:34 UTC | 28% |
| 26 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 35% |
| 26 Oct, 03:06 UTC | 31% |
| 26 Oct, 02:48 UTC | 26% |
| 26 Oct, 01:58 UTC | 25% |
| 26 Oct, 01:27 UTC | 26% |
| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 25% |
| 25 Oct, 12:34 UTC | 22% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Oct, 19:09 UTC | 22% |
| 24 Oct, 09:15 UTC | 23% |
| 24 Oct, 06:58 UTC | 22% |
| 23 Oct, 20:35 UTC | 22% |
President Trump and former President Barack Obama exchange attacks on the campaign trail less than a week before the midterm elections.
Kalshi Republican Party 15%Defense Secretary Pete Hegseth dismissed Army Lt. Gen. Brett Sylvia after he admitted to leaking classified information about Iran and Ukraine.
The allies will build a final assembly facility for advanced air-to-air missiles to counter China's growing assertiveness in Asia.
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