Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by October 31?
Implied probability 8%−4
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$12k
Resolves31 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 8% |
| 15 Sept, 17:02 UTC | 8% |
| 14 Sept, 17:02 UTC | 11% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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Outcomes
- Yes 8%
- No 93%
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