California Healthcare System Divided Over Billionaire Tax Measure
Budget cuts fuel division within the state's healthcare system as voters prepare for a ballot measure on a new billionaire tax.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 6 Nov, 06:07 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 19:07 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 18:35 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 17:20 UTC | 2% |
| 5 Nov, 15:57 UTC | 1% |
| 5 Nov, 05:02 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 20:23 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 19:04 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 18:27 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 14:30 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 14:01 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 12:54 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 11:32 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 09:14 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 08:10 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 07:56 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 07:04 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 05:17 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 04:47 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 04:25 UTC | 14% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 03:03 UTC | 20% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 16% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 17% |
| 4 Nov, 01:20 UTC | 19% |
| 4 Nov, 00:43 UTC | 15% |
| 4 Nov, 00:15 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 12% |
| 3 Nov, 22:56 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 13% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Nov, 18:06 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 16:47 UTC | 14% |
| 3 Nov, 15:36 UTC | 10% |
| 3 Nov, 15:29 UTC | 15% |
| 3 Nov, 05:04 UTC | 11% |
| 3 Nov, 02:51 UTC | 14% |
| 2 Nov, 17:04 UTC | 12% |
| 2 Nov, 06:42 UTC | 16% |
| 2 Nov, 02:22 UTC | 15% |
| 2 Nov, 01:32 UTC | 12% |
| 2 Nov, 00:04 UTC | 17% |
| 1 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 16% |
| 1 Nov, 18:33 UTC | 12% |
| 1 Nov, 17:35 UTC | 13% |
| 1 Nov, 16:22 UTC | 15% |
| 1 Nov, 13:17 UTC | 18% |
| 31 Oct, 21:39 UTC | 16% |
| 31 Oct, 18:55 UTC | 18% |
| 30 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 13% |
| 30 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 20:24 UTC | 13% |
| 29 Oct, 17:46 UTC | 14% |
| 29 Oct, 15:30 UTC | 17% |
| 29 Oct, 00:34 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Oct, 22:46 UTC | 19% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 13% |
| 28 Oct, 06:11 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Oct, 17:00 UTC | 18% |
| 27 Oct, 15:49 UTC | 22% |
| 27 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 18% |
| 25 Oct, 02:21 UTC | 21% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 15% |
| 23 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 20% |
| 22 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 19% |
| 21 Oct, 21:12 UTC | 16% |
| 21 Oct, 15:53 UTC | 21% |
| 20 Oct, 23:34 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Oct, 21:56 UTC | 18% |
| 20 Oct, 15:16 UTC | 13% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 15% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 26% |
| 17 Oct, 14:19 UTC | 8% |
| 17 Oct, 06:41 UTC | 21% |
| 16 Oct, 19:41 UTC | 20% |
| 15 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 5% |
| 12 Oct, 23:40 UTC | 25% |
| 12 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 18% |
| 12 Oct, 04:48 UTC | 19% |
| 11 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 25% |
| 11 Oct, 12:05 UTC | 18% |
| 7 Oct, 10:44 UTC | 20% |
| 7 Oct, 08:40 UTC | 23% |
| 7 Oct, 07:20 UTC | 8% |
| 5 Oct, 09:34 UTC | 25% |
| 1 Oct, 02:14 UTC | 34% |
| 26 Sept, 01:37 UTC | 25% |
| 24 Sept, 09:22 UTC | 32% |
| 23 Sept, 08:46 UTC | 25% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 25 Sept 2026. Bloomberg.com published first, on 25 September at 12:30 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — resolved “No” on 10 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if California's 2026 billionaire tax becomes legally operative between now and January 1, 2027. It is No if the tax does not become legally operative within that window. Readers often mistake the news story about the campaign for proof that the tax is already in effect.
- Yes — resolved “Yes” on 4 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if California holds an official one-time billionaire tax ballot initiative before November 5, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake any proposed legislation or campaign activity for the required official ballot vote.
- In 2026 — resolved “No” on 10 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if a specific one-time tax on billionaires appears on a California ballot and wins voter approval. It resolves to No if that initiative fails or does not appear on the ballot. Readers often mistake general billionaire taxes for this specific ballot measure.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Resolved Before Jan 1, 2027 No 2d ago
The market favoured No at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved Yes · Will the California billionaire wealth tax appear on the ballot? Yes 8d ago
The market favoured Yes at 99% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
- Resolved In 2026 · Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass? No 3d ago
The market favoured No at 98% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Wrong market?
In this story
- California