In 2026
Implied probability 2%
24-hour volume$121k
Total volume$4.7M
Liquidity$4.7M
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if a specific one-time tax on billionaires appears on a California ballot and wins voter approval. It resolves to No if that initiative fails or does not appear on the ballot. Readers often mistake general billionaire taxes for this specific ballot measure.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 2%
- No 98%