Yes
Implied probability 94%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$322k
Liquidity$322k
Resolves3 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 94% |
| 23 Sept, 08:48 UTC | 94% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if California holds an official one-time billionaire tax ballot initiative before November 5, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake any proposed legislation or campaign activity for the required official ballot vote.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 94%
- No 6%