Trump Establishes Committee to Investigate Fed Governor Lisa Cook
The White House announced a probe into alleged mortgage fraud by Federal Reserve Governor Lisa Cook, with a hearing scheduled for November.
First reported by News Feed, 4 min ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 52% |
| 8 Oct, 14:15 UTC | 51% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Before Jan 1, 2027 respond.
The story so far
5 publishers have covered this in 5 articles since 9 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 9 October at 14:10 UTC; politico.com followed 4 min later. The most recent article, from The Guardian, appeared on 9 October at 15:39 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), The New York Times (major outlet), The Hill (major outlet), The Guardian (major outlet).
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 53%, with $443 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if the President attempts to fire Lisa Cook from her role on the Federal Reserve Board before January 1, 2027. The outcome depends solely on whether such an attempt occurs within this timeframe. Readers often mistake a formal removal or resignation for an attempted firing.
- Lisa Cook — the market puts it at 18%, with $948 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Lisa Cook faces formal federal criminal charges between now and January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if she does not meet this condition by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a committee investigation for an actual criminal charge.
- Before 2027 — the market puts it at 2%, with $13 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if President Trump fires Jerome Powell before January 1, 2027. The outcome is No if he does not fire him by that date. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a probe as the resolution event, but only an actual firing counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Before Jan 1, 2027 at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- News FeedDonald Trump launches committee to investigate Fed governor Lisa Cook51%
- politico.comTrump sets up committee to investigate, potentially remove the Fed's Lisa Cook51%
- The New York TimesTrump Announces White House Inquiry Into Fed Governor Lisa Cook59%▲8 points since the previous source
- The HillTrump establishes 'committee of inquiry' for Federal Reserve Gov. Lisa Cook59%
- The GuardianTrump establishes committee to investigate Fed governor Lisa Cook59%
- Current odds53%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Trump establishes committee to investigate Fed governor Lisa Cook The Guardian ·
- Trump establishes 'committee of inquiry' for Federal Reserve Gov. Lisa Cook The Hill ·
- Trump Announces White House Inquiry Into Fed Governor Lisa Cook The New York Times ·
- Trump sets up committee to investigate, potentially remove the Fed's Lisa Cook politico.com ·
- Donald Trump launches committee to investigate Fed governor Lisa Cook News Feed ·
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Before Jan 1, 2027 53% +2
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Lisa Cook 18% +3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Before 2027 2% −3
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Donald Trump
- Lisa Cook
- Federal Reserve
- White House
- Supreme Court