Before Jan 1, 2027
Why it moved: +7 points at 15:07 UTC, after politico.com: Trump sets up committee to investigate, potentially remove the Fed's Lisa Cook — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 53% |
| 9 Oct, 15:07 UTC | 59% |
| 9 Oct, 14:52 UTC | 52% |
| 8 Oct, 14:15 UTC | 51% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the President attempts to fire Lisa Cook from her role on the Federal Reserve Board before January 1, 2027. The outcome depends solely on whether such an attempt occurs within this timeframe. Readers often mistake a formal removal or resignation for an attempted firing.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 53%
- No 47%