China’s State Funds Buy Stocks as Markets Fall and Luxury Sector Slumps
State-backed ETFs record heavy inflows while copper miner CMOC posts soaring earnings amid a broader market rout and fading luxury demand.
Kalshi By 2030 19% +3Lula
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Markets on Lula
Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about Lula each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 4.0% and 5.0%?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 96% |
| 26 Oct, 04:22 UTC | 96% |
| 26 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 96% |
| 26 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 96% |
Stories
Lula Wins Fourth Term in Historic Brazilian Election Upset
Lula secures a fourth term after a historic comeback in the runoff, defeating Flávio Bolsonaro in one of Brazil's tightest races.
Resolved At least 49% No 2h agoLula Wins Brazil's Presidential Election
The victory triggers market reactions including a slide in Real futures and Japan ETFs.
Brazil's Lula Faces Possible Defeat as Progressive Movement Loses Key Ally
The former president’s potential loss marks a turning point for global progressives who relied on his political survival.
Resolved Lula da Silva, ≥7% No 2h ago