Lula da Silva, ≥1%
The market favoured No at 87% a day out, but Yes won. How often it's right
Final probability 94%
24-hour volume$6k
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolved25 Oct 2027
Why it moved: +81 points at 03:34 UTC, after France 24 - Noticias y actualidad internacional en vivo: El triunfo de Lula frena a la derecha y socava las aspiraciones de Trump en Latinoamérica — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 94% |
| 26 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 94% |
| 25 Oct, 02:50 UTC | 13% |
Outcomes
- Yes 94%
- No 6%