Stocks Slide as Tech Earnings Misses and Crypto Hack Fuel Selloff
Equity markets drop amid disappointing tech earnings, a major cryptocurrency hack, and rising costs for Kia Corp. linked to the Middle East conflict.
Kalshi 29,500 to 29,999.99 9% +2Bank of Japan
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Markets on Bank of Japan
- Kalshi 29,500 to 29,999.99 9% +2
- Kalshi Before 2027 72% −8
- Kalshi Exactly 1 25% +5
- Polymarket Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? 2% −1
- Polymarket Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? 78% +3
- Kalshi Hike 25bps 75%
Coverage vs. odds, last two weeks
How much the press wrote about Bank of Japan each day, and what its busiest market did over the same days.
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 78% |
| 30 Oct, 10:28 UTC | 78% |
| 30 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 75% |
| 30 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 79% |
| 30 Oct, 07:28 UTC | 77% |
| 30 Oct, 06:56 UTC | 77% |
| 30 Oct, 06:14 UTC | 78% |
| 30 Oct, 05:56 UTC | 77% |
| 30 Oct, 05:28 UTC | 77% |
| 30 Oct, 04:43 UTC | 77% |
| 30 Oct, 04:29 UTC | 77% |
| 30 Oct, 03:54 UTC | 77% |
| 29 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 81% |
Stories
Fed Holds Rates Steady as US Inflation Data Shows Acceleration
The Federal Reserve kept interest rates unchanged while new data revealed the Personal Consumption Expenditures price index rose 0.5 percent in September.
Kalshi Before 2027 72% −8Bank of Japan Holds Rates as Tokyo Inflation Hits Target
The central bank maintains current interest rates while underlying inflation in the capital exceeds its 2% goal, raising expectations for a December hike.
Polymarket Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 25 bps after the December 2026 meeting? 78% +3