Exactly 1
Implied probability 10%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$18k
Liquidity$18k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 23 Sept, 19:14 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Sept, 12:14 UTC | 10% |
| 22 Sept, 11:54 UTC | 10% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if there is exactly one change in interest rates before 2027. It resolves to No if there are zero or more than one rate changes during that period. Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of 2026 instead of any time before 2027.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%