29,500 to 29,999.99
Implied probability 7%
24-hour volume$5k
Total volume$185k
Liquidity$185k
Resolves31 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 30 Oct, 13:42 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Nasdaq 100 index value falls between 29,500 and 29,999.99 at exactly 4pm EST on December 31, 2026. It resolves to No if the value is outside that range or if the market closes before that time. Readers often mistake the resolution date for the current date or check the wrong index.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 7%
- No 93%