Hike 25bps
Implied probability 76%+2
24-hour volume$662
Total volume$5k
Liquidity$5k
Resolves18 Dec 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 76% |
| 30 Oct, 03:47 UTC | 76% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Bank of Japan increases interest rates by exactly 25 basis points during its monetary policy meeting in December 2026. It resolves to No if the bank takes any other action or fails to act at that specific time. Readers often mistake the headline date for the resolution deadline, but only the official decision made in December 2026 counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 76%
- No 24%