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Vermont Governor Election Live Results: Phil Scott vs Amanda Janoo

Vermonters vote to decide if Republican incumbent Phil Scott defeats Democrat Amanda Janoo in the gubernatorial race.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 3 Nov 2026 · updated 17h ago

Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made

The odds

How the odds moved · Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
0%50%100%0%28 Oct, 13:24 UTCnowThe Hill: Vermont live results: 2026 governor's election · 3 Nov, 17:00 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now0%
4 Nov, 03:55 UTC1%
4 Nov, 03:26 UTC2%
4 Nov, 02:56 UTC1%
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28 Oct, 13:57 UTC22%
28 Oct, 13:24 UTC22%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 3 Nov 2026. The Hill published first, on 3 November at 17:00 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? — resolved “No” on 4 Nov 2026.
  • Vermont — the market puts it at 1%, with $2k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Vermont has the smallest margin of victory among all 2026 U.S. gubernatorial elections as of January 20, 2027. The outcome is No if it does not have the smallest margin by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for election night results rather than the January 20, 2027 resolution date.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Vermont live results: 2026 governor's election The Hill ·

Related prediction markets

Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right

  • Resolved Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026? No 2h ago

    The market favoured No at 69% a day out, and it won. How often it's right

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Vermont 1% −4 $2k 24hends 20 Jan 2027

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

In this story

  • Phil Scott
  • Amanda Janoo
  • Vermont
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