Will the Democrats win the Vermont governor race in 2026?
The market favoured No at 69% a day out, and it won. How often it's right
Final probability 0%
24-hour volume$41k
Total volume$229k
Liquidity$173k
Resolved4 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 0% |
| 4 Nov, 03:55 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 03:26 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 02:56 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 02:26 UTC | 5% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 6% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 33% |
| 4 Nov, 00:29 UTC | 44% |
| 3 Nov, 23:53 UTC | 37% |
| 3 Nov, 23:24 UTC | 36% |
| 3 Nov, 22:34 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 22:19 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 21:57 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 21:26 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 20:49 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 20:27 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 19:57 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 19:14 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 18:59 UTC | 32% |
| 3 Nov, 18:29 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 17:33 UTC | 33% |
| 3 Nov, 17:17 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 16:40 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 16:26 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 08:32 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 08:25 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 06:08 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 04:57 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 04:01 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 03:33 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 31% |
| 3 Nov, 02:08 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 01:54 UTC | 30% |
| 3 Nov, 01:17 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 00:33 UTC | 29% |
| 3 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 23:51 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 23:23 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 22:54 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 21:55 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 21:12 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 20:58 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 20:16 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 19:54 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 19:18 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 18:56 UTC | 28% |
| 2 Nov, 18:11 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 17:49 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 17:26 UTC | 29% |
| 2 Nov, 15:42 UTC | 30% |
| 2 Nov, 15:11 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 14:33 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 13:56 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 13:11 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 12:56 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 12:12 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 08:57 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 08:08 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 07:33 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 06:35 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 05:39 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 05:24 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 04:40 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 04:26 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 03:57 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 03:28 UTC | 31% |
| 2 Nov, 02:58 UTC | 32% |
| 2 Nov, 02:22 UTC | 23% |
| 2 Nov, 00:55 UTC | 22% |
| 2 Nov, 00:19 UTC | 22% |
| 1 Nov, 23:43 UTC | 21% |
| 1 Nov, 20:07 UTC | 21% |
| 30 Oct, 09:02 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Oct, 08:55 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Oct, 07:09 UTC | 23% |
| 30 Oct, 05:42 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 23:26 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 19:15 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 18:13 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 16:15 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 15:38 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 15:22 UTC | 23% |
| 29 Oct, 14:40 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 12:52 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 11:56 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 11:12 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 10:58 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 10:26 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 06:37 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 06:18 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 05:58 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 21% |
| 29 Oct, 04:07 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 03:14 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 02:20 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 01:52 UTC | 22% |
| 29 Oct, 00:20 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 19:40 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 18:38 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 18:29 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 17:54 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 17:09 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 16:17 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 15:26 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 14:56 UTC | 23% |
| 28 Oct, 14:14 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Oct, 13:57 UTC | 22% |
| 28 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 22% |
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%
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