Vermont
Implied probability 1%−4
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$10k
Liquidity$10k
Resolves20 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 05:53 UTC | 1% |
| 4 Nov, 01:57 UTC | 2% |
| 4 Nov, 01:27 UTC | 4% |
| 4 Nov, 00:58 UTC | 10% |
| 4 Nov, 00:07 UTC | 4% |
| 2 Nov, 16:31 UTC | 5% |
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Vermont has the smallest margin of victory among all 2026 U.S. gubernatorial elections as of January 20, 2027. The outcome is No if it does not have the smallest margin by that date. Readers often mistake the deadline for election night results rather than the January 20, 2027 resolution date.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%