Vance Says Cruz Running for President as He Weighs Bid
The vice president stated it is obvious that Senator Ted Cruz plans to seek the White House in 2028 while Vance considers his own campaign.
This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 14:07 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 07:25 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 06:40 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 05:54 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 04:26 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 3% |
| 4 Oct, 03:09 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 23:09 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 22:56 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 21:37 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 20:56 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 19:29 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 3% |
| 3 Oct, 15:20 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 14:48 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 14:27 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 13:58 UTC | 2% |
| 3 Oct, 12:49 UTC | 2% |
| 2 Oct, 07:15 UTC | 3% |
| 30 Sept, 21:23 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 18:46 UTC | 2% |
| 30 Sept, 17:36 UTC | 2% |
| 25 Sept, 15:27 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 09:35 UTC | 2% |
| 23 Sept, 04:54 UTC | 2% |
| 22 Sept, 16:28 UTC | 2% |
| 20 Sept, 19:47 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Sept, 10:06 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Sept, 09:58 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Sept, 07:59 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Sept, 04:38 UTC | 2% |
| 15 Sept, 04:07 UTC | 2% |
| 14 Sept, 22:16 UTC | 2% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 2 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 2 October at 14:15 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 3%, with $27k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. Ted Cruz wins if he secures and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. The market resolves to No if he does not win or accept the nomination, regardless of any later replacements before election day.
- Ted Cruz — the market puts it at 2%, with $32 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Ted Cruz formally accepts the Republican nomination for Vice President in 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake news reports of interest or speculation for an official acceptance.
- Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 1%, with $26k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Ted Cruz wins the 2028 US Presidential Election and No if he does not. The outcome depends on the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for the same candidate. If these sources do not agree by January 20, 2029, the result is determined by who is inaugurated.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Polymarket Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? 3%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Ted Cruz 2%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Polymarket Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 1%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Vance
- Ted Cruz