NewsMarkets

Politics

Vance Says Cruz Running for President as He Weighs Bid

The vice president stated it is obvious that Senator Ted Cruz plans to seek the White House in 2028 while Vance considers his own campaign.

1 publisher · 1 article · first seen 2 Oct 2026 · updated 2d ago

This story has stopped developing; this page is its permanent record. More from that day

The odds

How the odds moved · Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
0%50%100%3%14 Sept, 22:16 UTCnowThe Hill: Vance: 'Really obvious' Cruz is running for president · 2 Oct, 14:15 UTC

Each tick is a source publishing on this story

Price data
TimeChance of yes
now3%
4 Oct, 14:07 UTC3%
4 Oct, 07:25 UTC3%
4 Oct, 06:40 UTC3%
4 Oct, 05:54 UTC3%
4 Oct, 04:26 UTC3%
4 Oct, 03:34 UTC3%
4 Oct, 03:09 UTC2%
3 Oct, 23:09 UTC3%
3 Oct, 22:56 UTC3%
3 Oct, 21:37 UTC3%
3 Oct, 20:56 UTC3%
3 Oct, 19:29 UTC3%
3 Oct, 15:34 UTC3%
3 Oct, 15:20 UTC2%
3 Oct, 14:48 UTC2%
3 Oct, 14:27 UTC2%
3 Oct, 13:58 UTC2%
3 Oct, 12:49 UTC2%
2 Oct, 07:15 UTC3%
30 Sept, 21:23 UTC2%
30 Sept, 18:46 UTC2%
30 Sept, 17:36 UTC2%
25 Sept, 15:27 UTC2%
23 Sept, 09:35 UTC2%
23 Sept, 04:54 UTC2%
22 Sept, 16:28 UTC2%
20 Sept, 19:47 UTC2%
15 Sept, 10:06 UTC2%
15 Sept, 09:58 UTC2%
15 Sept, 07:59 UTC2%
15 Sept, 04:38 UTC2%
15 Sept, 04:07 UTC2%
14 Sept, 22:16 UTC2%

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 2 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 2 October at 14:15 UTC.

3 prediction markets price this story:

  • Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? — the market puts it at 3%, with $27k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. Ted Cruz wins if he secures and accepts the 2028 Republican presidential nomination, as confirmed by official party sources. The market resolves to No if he does not win or accept the nomination, regardless of any later replacements before election day.
  • Ted Cruz — the market puts it at 2%, with $32 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 7 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Ted Cruz formally accepts the Republican nomination for Vice President in 2028. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake news reports of interest or speculation for an official acceptance.
  • Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? — the market puts it at 1%, with $26k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 8 Nov 2028. The market resolves to Yes if Ted Cruz wins the 2028 US Presidential Election and No if he does not. The outcome depends on the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for the same candidate. If these sources do not agree by January 20, 2029, the result is determined by who is inaugurated.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.

Sources

Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.

  1. Vance: 'Really obvious' Cruz is running for president The Hill ·

Markets on this story

  • Polymarket Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? 3% $27k 24hends 8 Nov 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Kalshi Ted Cruz 2% $32 24hends 7 Nov 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

  • Polymarket Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election? 1% $26k 24hends 8 Nov 2028

    Does the market have this right?

    Wrong market?

Have your say

Your call. How does this end?

Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

Email me when the odds move

We email a link to confirm first. At most one alert email every six hours; unsubscribe in one click. Privacy

In this story

  • Vance
  • Ted Cruz
Embed this story

Paste this into any web page to show the live odds, with a link back here.