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Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?

Implied probability 1%
24-hour volume$104k
Total volume$1.1M
Liquidity$564k
Resolves8 Nov 2028

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Ted Cruz wins the 2028 US Presidential Election and No if he does not. The outcome depends on the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for the same candidate. If these sources do not agree by January 20, 2029, the result is determined by who is inaugurated.

Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 1%
  • No 99%

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