Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?
Implied probability 0%
24-hour volume$150k
Total volume$270k
Liquidity$262k
Resolves7 Nov 2028
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Ted Cruz wins the 2028 US Presidential Election and No if he does not. The outcome depends on the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC calling the race for the same candidate. If these sources do not agree by January 20, 2029, the result is determined by who is inaugurated.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 0%
- No 100%