Uefa Close to Naming Candidate to Challenge Infantino in Fifa Election
The governing body is nearing approval of a challenger for the March vote, with candidates needing to confirm their candidacy by 18 November.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
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The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 5% |
| 31 Oct, 18:19 UTC | 5% |
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| 31 Oct, 16:51 UTC | 4% |
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| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 9% |
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| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 7% |
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| 11 Oct, 02:30 UTC | 11% |
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| 10 Oct, 08:30 UTC | 9% |
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| 8 Oct, 23:03 UTC | 6% |
| 8 Oct, 19:32 UTC | 5% |
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| 8 Oct, 11:46 UTC | 7% |
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| 7 Oct, 17:23 UTC | 10% |
| 7 Oct, 16:35 UTC | 11% |
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| 30 Sept, 20:46 UTC | 11% |
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| 29 Sept, 23:46 UTC | 7% |
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| 29 Sept, 19:54 UTC | 7% |
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| 29 Sept, 18:05 UTC | 7% |
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| 29 Sept, 11:14 UTC | 9% |
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| 27 Sept, 08:22 UTC | 11% |
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| 26 Sept, 16:48 UTC | 9% |
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| 24 Sept, 16:18 UTC | 12% |
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| 21 Sept, 00:24 UTC | 13% |
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| 20 Sept, 19:47 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Sept, 18:32 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Sept, 17:59 UTC | 15% |
| 20 Sept, 17:18 UTC | 15% |
| 20 Sept, 16:44 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Sept, 16:29 UTC | 15% |
| 20 Sept, 15:43 UTC | 16% |
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| 20 Sept, 13:43 UTC | 14% |
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| 20 Sept, 10:56 UTC | 14% |
| 20 Sept, 10:21 UTC | 16% |
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| 19 Sept, 08:33 UTC | 17% |
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| 17 Sept, 16:41 UTC | 13% |
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| 16 Sept, 20:50 UTC | 13% |
| 16 Sept, 19:06 UTC | 10% |
| 16 Sept, 16:39 UTC | 9% |
| 16 Sept, 14:05 UTC | 8% |
| 16 Sept, 07:43 UTC | 9% |
| 16 Sept, 06:17 UTC | 11% |
| 16 Sept, 01:31 UTC | 13% |
| 16 Sept, 01:00 UTC | 14% |
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| 15 Sept, 14:53 UTC | 12% |
| 15 Sept, 14:25 UTC | 12% |
| 15 Sept, 05:39 UTC | 10% |
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| 12 Sept, 22:54 UTC | 16% |
| 12 Sept, 21:20 UTC | 14% |
| 12 Sept, 20:59 UTC | 11% |
| 12 Sept, 20:14 UTC | 9% |
| 12 Sept, 19:31 UTC | 9% |
| 12 Sept, 18:39 UTC | 12% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 29 Oct 2026. The Guardian Sport published first, on 29 October at 18:41 UTC.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? — the market puts it at 5%, with $614 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Gianni Infantino stops being FIFA president at any point before December 31, 2026, or if he announces his resignation or firing before that date. Temporary suspensions or administrative leave do not count toward a Yes outcome. Readers often mistake the announcement deadline for the effective date of departure.
- Yes — the market puts it at 6%, with $138 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Gianni Infantino ceases to be President of FIFA in 2026. It resolves to No if he remains in that role throughout the year. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a governance review for an actual departure, but only his actual exit from the presidency counts.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Polymarket Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31? 5% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Yes 6% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
Have your say
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Email me when the odds move
In this story
- Uefa
- Gianni Infantino
- Fifa
- Arsène Wenger