Yes
Implied probability 10%−10
24-hour volume$206
Total volume$102k
Liquidity$102k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 22:16 UTC | 10% |
| 25 Sept, 18:29 UTC | 13% |
| 23 Sept, 17:13 UTC | 20% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Gianni Infantino ceases to be President of FIFA in 2026. It resolves to No if he remains in that role throughout the year. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a governance review for an actual departure, but only his actual exit from the presidency counts.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 10%
- No 90%