Canelo Alvarez to Defend WBC Super Middleweight Title Against Christian Mbilli Hot: $65k traded on its market in 24 hours
The fighters prepare for their upcoming bout as analysts review key statistics ahead of the championship match.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 72% |
| 28 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 72% |
| 28 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 13:11 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 09:28 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 11:50 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 01:06 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 04:24 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 22:18 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 05:32 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 72% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Oct, 19:54 UTC | 74% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 28 Oct 2026. www.espn.com published first, on 28 October at 12:19 UTC; CBS Sports Headlines followed 5h 00m later. The most recent article, from CBS Sports Headlines, appeared on 28 October at 17:20 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: www.espn.com (major outlet), CBS Sports Headlines.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Canelo Alvarez — the market puts it at 73%, with $65k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 15 Nov 2026. The outcome is Yes if Canelo Alvarez wins his scheduled boxing match against Christian Mbilli on October 31, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific fight. Readers often mistake the linked news story about airport attacks in Riyadh for the actual resolution criteria.
- Manny Pacquiao — the market puts it at 20%, with $4 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Manny Pacquiao holds the WBC Welterweight Title on January 1, 2027, at 12:00 PM ET. It resolves to No if he does not hold the title at that specific moment. Readers often mistake the linked boxing match for a factor in the resolution, but only Pacquiao's title status on the deadline date matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi Canelo Alvarez 73%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Manny Pacquiao 20%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Canelo Alvarez
- Christian Mbilli
- WBC