Canelo Alvarez
Implied probability 73%
24-hour volume$65k
Total volume$357k
Liquidity$357k
Resolves15 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 20:02 UTC | 72% |
| 28 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 15:55 UTC | 72% |
| 28 Oct, 13:49 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 13:24 UTC | 72% |
| 28 Oct, 08:22 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 03:50 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 03:29 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 01:21 UTC | 73% |
| 28 Oct, 00:53 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 23:12 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 21:19 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 20:03 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 19:55 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 19:11 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 17:43 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 17:28 UTC | 72% |
| 27 Oct, 15:35 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 13:11 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 12:42 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 12:08 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 10:49 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 08:20 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 06:42 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 03:19 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 02:02 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 01:53 UTC | 73% |
| 27 Oct, 00:59 UTC | 74% |
| 27 Oct, 00:24 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 23:24 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 22:15 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 21:53 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 20:05 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 18:40 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 17:06 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 16:59 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 15:09 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 13:30 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 13:23 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 08:44 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 06:20 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 05:53 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 05:11 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 72% |
| 26 Oct, 03:34 UTC | 74% |
| 26 Oct, 03:27 UTC | 73% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Oct, 23:35 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 23:25 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 22:13 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 21:57 UTC | 74% |
| 25 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 20:12 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 19:39 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 19:18 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 18:57 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 16:21 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 09:28 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 07:46 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 07:11 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 06:12 UTC | 72% |
| 25 Oct, 04:05 UTC | 73% |
| 25 Oct, 03:58 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 22:58 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 20:37 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 18:22 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 17:01 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 16:08 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 15:34 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 15:27 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 13:29 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 12:25 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 11:50 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 11:19 UTC | 72% |
| 24 Oct, 01:06 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 73% |
| 24 Oct, 00:27 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Oct, 22:21 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 21:11 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 20:49 UTC | 72% |
| 23 Oct, 18:56 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 16:22 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 09:21 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 06:53 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 04:24 UTC | 74% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 73% |
| 23 Oct, 00:55 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 22:39 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 22:18 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Oct, 20:55 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 18:27 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 15:28 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 05:32 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 05:25 UTC | 72% |
| 22 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 01:37 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 01:29 UTC | 73% |
| 22 Oct, 00:52 UTC | 74% |
| 22 Oct, 00:10 UTC | 73% |
| 21 Oct, 22:53 UTC | 74% |
| 21 Oct, 22:24 UTC | 72% |
| 21 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 73% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The outcome is Yes if Canelo Alvarez wins his scheduled boxing match against Christian Mbilli on October 31, 2026. The outcome is No if he does not win that specific fight. Readers often mistake the linked news story about airport attacks in Riyadh for the actual resolution criteria.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 73%
- No 27%