Gianni Infantino out as FIFA President by December 31?
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 9% |
| 26 Oct, 00:54 UTC | 9% |
| 25 Oct, 22:37 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 22:20 UTC | 8% |
| 25 Oct, 21:50 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 10:17 UTC | 7% |
| 23 Oct, 07:33 UTC | 8% |
| 23 Oct, 06:46 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Oct, 05:18 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Oct, 04:57 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Oct, 02:33 UTC | 9% |
| 23 Oct, 00:36 UTC | 9% |
| 22 Oct, 22:25 UTC | 9% |
| 22 Oct, 20:40 UTC | 9% |
| 22 Oct, 19:58 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 19:23 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 18:34 UTC | 9% |
| 22 Oct, 18:05 UTC | 8% |
| 22 Oct, 16:47 UTC | 9% |
| 21 Oct, 23:49 UTC | 8% |
| 21 Oct, 18:41 UTC | 10% |
| 21 Oct, 16:43 UTC | 9% |
| 21 Oct, 16:29 UTC | 9% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 7% |
Your call. How does this end?
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Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Gianni Infantino stops being FIFA president at any point before December 31, 2026, or if he announces his resignation or firing before that date. Temporary suspensions or administrative leave do not count toward a Yes outcome. Readers often mistake the announcement deadline for the effective date of departure.
Written from Polymarket's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Polymarket are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 9%
- No 92%
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