Trump Says D.C. Golf Course Construction Will Start Next Month

The story so far

1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 18 Oct 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 18 October at 16:59 UTC.

2 prediction markets price this story:

• 2 — the market puts it at 1%, closing 1 Nov 2026. The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump makes exactly two trips to the specified golf club in October 2026. It resolves to No for any other number of trips or if he does not visit at all during that month. Readers often mistake the requirement for "at least" two trips, but the rule specifies exactly two.
• Before Jan 1, 2027 — the market puts it at 51%, closing 1 Jan 2027. The market resolves to Yes if construction begins on the proposed United States Triumphal Arch in Washington, D.C., after the issuance date and before January 1, 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the proposal itself for the start of construction.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.