Not this weekend (Oct 23-25)
Implied probability 6%+6
24-hour volume$2k
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves26 Oct 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 20 Oct, 06:02 UTC | 6% |
| 19 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump does not play golf between October 23 and October 25, 2026. The outcome depends solely on his actual participation in a round of golf during this specific three-day window. Readers often mistake the linked news story about a court order as the deciding factor, but only his physical presence on the course matters.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 94%