2
Implied probability 1%−8
24-hour volume$415
Total volume$15k
Liquidity$15k
Resolves1 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 1% |
| 12 Oct, 14:21 UTC | 1% |
| 12 Oct, 12:24 UTC | 2% |
| 11 Oct, 21:43 UTC | 9% |
| 11 Oct, 20:27 UTC | 10% |
| 10 Oct, 20:17 UTC | 1% |
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump makes exactly two trips to the specified golf club in October 2026. It resolves to No for any other number of trips or if he does not visit at all during that month. Readers often mistake the requirement for "at least" two trips, but the rule specifies exactly two.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 1%
- No 99%