NewsMarkets

Markets

Yes

Implied probability 53%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$3k
Liquidity$3k
Resolves1 Jan 2027
How the odds moved · Yes
0%50%100%53%6 Oct, 08:46 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now53%
6 Oct, 08:46 UTC53%

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Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls

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What counts

The market resolves to Yes if Donald Trump physically travels to and stays within the geographic boundaries of Camp David between now and January 1, 2027. It resolves to No if he does not meet this condition by that date. Readers often mistake the news headline about plans for the actual physical presence required for resolution.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 53%
  • No 47%

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