Trump Chief of Staff's Daughter Works for Firm Lobbying Republika Srpska
Susie Wiles’s daughter is employed by a firm that lobbies on behalf of the Russian-aligned Balkan entity.
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 7% |
| 7 Oct, 14:45 UTC | 7% |
The story so far
2 publishers have covered this in 2 articles since 8 Oct 2026. News Feed published first, on 8 October at 15:17 UTC; CBS News followed 28 min later. The most recent article, from CBS News, appeared on 8 October at 15:46 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: News Feed (major outlet), CBS News (major outlet).
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Susie Wiles — the market puts it at 7%, with $62 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 20 Jan 2029. The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles becomes the first member of Donald Trump's Cabinet to leave or announce her departure after May 22, 2026. The outcome is No if she remains in the role longer than any other cabinet member or does not leave by that date.
- Susie Wiles — the market puts it at 18%, with $321 traded in the last 24 hours, closing 1 Jan 2027. The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles leaves her role as Chief of Staff before 2027. The outcome is No if she remains in that position through the end of 2026. Readers often mistake the linked news story about her daughter for the resolution criteria, but only Wiles's own departure date matters.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Susie Wiles 7%
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- Kalshi Susie Wiles 18% −3
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In this story
- Susie Wiles
- Republika Srpska