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Susie Wiles

Implied probability 18%−3
24-hour volume$321
Total volume$222k
Liquidity$222k
Resolves1 Jan 2027

Why it moved: −3 points at 15:21 UTC, after News Feed: Daughter of Trump’s chief of staff works at firm that lobbies for Republika Srpska — the latest article on its stories before the jump; what followed, not what caused it.

How the odds moved · Susie Wiles
0%50%100%18%7 Oct, 14:49 UTCnow
Price data
TimeChance of yes
now18%
8 Oct, 15:21 UTC18%
7 Oct, 14:49 UTC21%

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What counts

The outcome is Yes if Susie Wiles leaves her role as Chief of Staff before 2027. The outcome is No if she remains in that position through the end of 2026. Readers often mistake the linked news story about her daughter for the resolution criteria, but only Wiles's own departure date matters.

Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.

Outcomes

  • Yes 18%
  • No 82%

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