Supreme Court Lets Trump Administration Expand Voter Database Ahead of Midterms

How it unfolded

Every source in the order it published, with the odds on any 3rd Amendment case at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.

1. 7 Sept, 00:59CBS News PoliticsTrump administration appeals to Supreme Court again to restrict mail ballots—
2. 7 Sept, 01:01CBS News PoliticsTrump administration makes another Supreme Court appeal on mail ballot fight—
3. 8 Sept, 16:11The Hill NewsDHS asks Supreme Court to reinstate overhauled immigration tool for midterms—
4. 8 Sept, 17:58CBS News PoliticsTrump administration asks Supreme Court to allow use of citizenship database—
5. 8 Sept, 20:21Washington PostSupreme Court declines Catholic mother’s bid for son’s vaccine exemption in N.Y.—
6. 8 Sept, 20:25Washington PostDHS asks Supreme Court to let it use Social Security data to verify voter rolls—
7. 8 Sept, 22:37The HillSupreme Court declines to intervene in New York religious vaccine exemption case—
8. 9 Sept, 12:58NPR PoliticsTrump officials propose sweeping changes to the census that would reshape voting maps—
9. 10 Sept, 17:07The Guardian USUS appeals court rejects Trump’s bid to impose restrictions on mail-in voting before midterms—
10. 10 Sept, 17:19CBS News PoliticsAppeals court declines to lift block on Postal Service rule for mail ballots—
11. Show 123 later sources

    1. 10 Sept, 18:49The HillAppeals court denies Trump administration's mail ballot restrictions—
    2. 10 Sept, 19:36Washington PostGOP secretaries of state ask Supreme Court to block Trump mail-in ballot rule—
    3. 10 Sept, 20:10Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS appeals court rejects Trump bid to implement new vote-by-mail rules—
    4. 10 Sept, 23:40Fox News PoliticsFederal appeals court compares Trump migrant detention policy to Japanese American internment—
    5. 11 Sept, 18:00Washington PostBallot scramble hints at chaos under Trump proposal, Fla. election official says—
    6. 13 Sept, 10:00The Guardian USTrump’s attempted crackdown on mail-in voting – here’s what to know—
    7. 14 Sept, 10:41The Guardian USTrump’s mail-in voting restrictions blocked by a second judge – US politics live—
    8. 14 Sept, 10:57South China Morning PostTrump’s mail-in voting restrictions blocked by a second judge—
    9. 14 Sept, 13:01The HillSecond judge freezes Trump mail ballot plan as Supreme Court ruling looms—
    10. 14 Sept, 15:00Just In NewsTrump's radical plan is to make the postal service an election gatekeeper—
    11. 14 Sept, 15:28Fox News PoliticsMamdani, Letitia James sue to block Trump admin from refusing immigrants over welfare status—
    12. 14 Sept, 15:39AxiosTrump's USPS mail-ballot rules hit a second roadblock as Supreme Court weighs case—
    13. 14 Sept, 16:06AxiosCities challenge Trump immigration rule over public benefits access—
    14. 14 Sept, 16:21Mother JonesStates and Cities Sue To Stop Trump’s Immigrant “Wealth Test” Rule Before It Takes Effect—
    15. 14 Sept, 16:30Just In NewsTrump’s mail voting overhaul hits turbulence—
    16. 14 Sept, 16:52All Content from Business InsiderTrump's swing at green card holders on public benefits is facing a slew of lawsuits—
    17. 14 Sept, 17:25The HillStates and cities sue over 'public charge' green card restrictions—
    18. 14 Sept, 17:55The Guardian USMamdani sues Trump administration over new immigration rule – video—
    19. 14 Sept, 18:36The Guardian USStates and cities sue Trump administration over policy restricting green card benefits—
    20. 14 Sept, 21:20STATJudge blocks Trump administration plans to limit visa length for grad students, postdocs—
    21. 14 Sept, 21:23AxiosTrump DHS whistleblower alleges workers lied to access state voter data—
    22. 14 Sept, 23:37CBS News PoliticsSupreme Court blocks new Postal Service rules for mail ballots in blow to Trump—
    23. 14 Sept, 23:38NPR PoliticsThe Supreme Court rejects Trump's mail voting restrictions for this year's midterms—
    24. 14 Sept, 23:46The HillSupreme Court won’t restore Trump’s mail-in voting plan for midterms—
    25. 14 Sept, 23:48Fox News PoliticsSupreme Court rejects Trump bid to revive strict mail-ballot rules before midterms—
    26. 14 Sept, 23:49AxiosSupreme Court strikes down USPS mail-in voting rule—
    27. 14 Sept, 23:57News FeedSupreme Court rejects Trump’s mail-in ballot restrictions—
    28. 14 Sept, 23:57Washington PostSupreme Court blocks sweeping mail ballot restrictions for midterm elections—
    29. 15 Sept, 00:05The Guardian USSupreme court rejects Trump’s mail ballot restrictions for midterm elections—
    30. 15 Sept, 00:09Deutsche WelleUS Supreme Court denies Trump bid to restrict mail-in ballots—
    31. 15 Sept, 00:19Bloomberg.comCourt Rejects Trump Mail Ballot Curbs, AI Worries Hit Chipmakers—
    32. 15 Sept, 00:22South China Morning PostUS Supreme Court rejects Trump mail ballot restrictions for midterms—
    33. 15 Sept, 00:23WIREDThe Supreme Court Just Blocked Trump’s Efforts to Control Mail-In Voting for the Midterms—
    34. 15 Sept, 01:13Bloomberg.comCourt Blocks Trump Mail Ballot Curbs, AI Slowdown Concerns, More—
    35. 15 Sept, 01:17Latest articlesU.S. Supreme Court blocks Postal Service restriction on mail ballots—
    36. 15 Sept, 01:24Mother JonesSupreme Court Blocks Trump’s Mail Ballot Scheme—
    37. 15 Sept, 01:25CBS News PoliticsBlanche defends mail ballot changes, says election practices in multiple states are being probed—
    38. 15 Sept, 01:51France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS Supreme Court rejects Trump bid to restrict mail ballots as voting begins—
    39. 15 Sept, 01:54Roll CallSupreme Court blocks efforts to stop mail voting this fall—
    40. 15 Sept, 02:06Bloomberg.comCourt Blocks Mail Ballot Curbs, Investors Weigh AI Worries, More—
    41. 15 Sept, 02:20Times of IndiaTrump’s mail ballot push hits Supreme Court roadblock ahead of crucial midterms—
    42. 15 Sept, 02:31Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump administration suffers double legal setback over immigration rules—
    43. 15 Sept, 02:52Bloomberg.comSupreme Court Rejects Trump Mail Ballot Curbs, AI Concerns Rise—
    44. 15 Sept, 03:21Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS Supreme Court rejects Trump mail ballot restrictions ahead of midterms—
    45. 15 Sept, 03:37Bloomberg.comSupreme Court Blocks Mail Ballot Restrictions, AI Risks in Focus—
    46. 15 Sept, 03:54Times of IndiaTrump faces fresh setback as judge blocks stricter foreign student visa rule—
    47. 15 Sept, 09:07South China Morning PostUS judge blocks Trump’s ‘absurd’ visa caps for students, journalists—
    48. 15 Sept, 09:15Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS Supreme Court rejects Trump’s plans on postal ballots: Why it matters—
    49. 15 Sept, 10:38The Guardian USStates given clearance for mail-in voting as US supreme court thwarts Trump | First Thing—
    50. 15 Sept, 11:02Fox News PoliticsAlito, Thomas shred 'Hail Mary' challenge to federal ballot mail rules in dissent—
    51. 15 Sept, 11:04The Guardian USDemocrats say supreme court rejection of Trump mail ballot restrictions will ensure ‘safe, secure and accurate elections’ – US politics live—
    52. 15 Sept, 11:30Just In NewsSupreme Court slams brakes on Trump's mail-in voting plan—
    53. 15 Sept, 11:34Bloomberg.comTrump’s Mail Ballot Curbs Rejcted, Best Business Schools, More—
    54. 15 Sept, 11:35NPR WorldSCOTUS rejects Trump's mail voting limits. And, the Kennedy Center financial crisis—
    55. 15 Sept, 13:48The Guardian USJudge blocks Trump limits on how long foreign students and journalists can stay in US—
    56. 15 Sept, 13:53AxiosTrump turns on the Supreme Court he helped build—
    57. 15 Sept, 14:08QuartzTrump slams his Supreme Court appointees after they blocked his mail ballot rule—
    58. 15 Sept, 14:30The HillTrump rips justices on mail-in ballots: 'These are not the people I interviewed to serve'—
    59. 15 Sept, 14:34Bloomberg.comTrump Blasts Mail Ballot Ruling, Bessent Hearing Disrupted, More—
    60. 15 Sept, 14:47Times of IndiaTrump slams justices he nominated after mail-voting setback: ‘Not who I interviewed’—
    61. 15 Sept, 15:09Washington PostTrump slams his own Supreme Court appointees over mail ballot ruling—
    62. 15 Sept, 15:20MedPageToday.com - medical news for physiciansCrackdown on Immigrants Who Use Public Benefits Takes Effect—
    63. 15 Sept, 15:25Fox News PoliticsTrump blasts Supreme Court 'disaster' after justices rule against him on mail in voting—
    64. 15 Sept, 17:47Washington PostTrump has failed to restrict voting by mail—
    65. 15 Sept, 20:13Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraBlanche says admin will comply with mail ballot ruling, defends Trump—
    66. 15 Sept, 21:00CBS News Politics9/15: The Takeout with Major Garrett—
    67. 15 Sept, 21:58CBS News PoliticsTrump admin. will comply with mail ballot ruling by Supreme Court, Blanche says—
    68. 15 Sept, 22:10The Guardian USMail-in disaster averted as Trump in angry froth after court defeat—
    69. 15 Sept, 22:21Roll CallBlanche vows to continue midterm efforts despite court blocking mail ballots rule—
    70. 16 Sept, 00:25Latest articlesU.S. Supreme Court rejects Trump’s mail ballot curbs for midterms—
    71. 16 Sept, 03:03NPR PoliticsJudge blocks DHS from acting against a man over a harsh email to an ICE official—
    72. 16 Sept, 12:00Just In NewsSupreme Court’s mail ballot ruling brings giant sigh of relief to Trump critics—
    73. 16 Sept, 13:31MedPageToday.com - medical news for physiciansJudge Halts Trump Plan; RFK Jr.'s 'Wolverine' Peptide; Swapping Nurses for AI—
    74. 16 Sept, 13:56Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraWhy are election officials in the US preparing for chaos before midterms?—
    75. 17 Sept, 05:33Fox News Politics20 states sue to block Trump admin rule that would make it harder for immigrants to obtain visas, green cards—
    76. 17 Sept, 09:00Fox News PoliticsKavanaugh throws Trump 'a lifeline' on mail ballot rules despite Supreme Court loss before midterms—
    77. 17 Sept, 12:00The Guardian USBad news this week for Trump – but Fox viewers might have missed it | Margaret Sullivan—
    78. 17 Sept, 12:53The HillLive updates: Missouri redistricting returns to court; Trump threatens EU over new Canada ties—
    79. 17 Sept, 19:46The HillMissouri GOP lays out map fight in US appeals court as ballot window closes—
    80. 17 Sept, 21:29The HillTrump administration gets green light to proceed with homelessness program overhaul—
    81. 18 Sept, 09:00NPR PoliticsA DHS email raises new questions about the Trump administration's election plans—
    82. 18 Sept, 09:30Fox News Politics‘Unprecedented’: Judges reveal behind-the-scenes coordination on Trump immigration cases—
    83. 18 Sept, 10:00The Hill NewsSenate Republicans rebuff Trump’s attacks on Supreme Court, Federal Reserve—
    84. 18 Sept, 18:33Fox News PoliticsJudge says issues in Trump administration anti-weaponization case 'alive and kicking' despite DOJ push—
    85. 19 Sept, 02:16Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS court blocks Trump plan to deport migrants to third countries—
    86. 19 Sept, 02:44CBS News PoliticsAppeals court rejects Trump's third-country deportation policy—
    87. 19 Sept, 08:55Deutsche WelleUS court restricts Trump policy on third-country deportations—
    88. 19 Sept, 08:55Deutsche WelleUS court rejects Trump policy on third-country deportations—
    89. 20 Sept, 11:00Fox News Politics‘Not a slam dunk’: Trump’s 2028 mail-vote push hinges on one big legal question—
    90. 21 Sept, 13:00The Guardian USThe US supreme court issued a fragile win for voting rights – the real test comes later | Claire Finkelstein—
    91. 21 Sept, 13:00News FeedTrump vs the US Supreme Court—
    92. 21 Sept, 21:50Bloomberg.comAppeals Court Revives Missouri Legal Spat Over Voting Map—
    93. 22 Sept, 16:31CBS News PoliticsWhere the Trump administration's lawsuits seeking voter data stand—
    94. 22 Sept, 19:52Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraTrump admin asks top US court to reverse pro-Palestinian scholar’s release—
    95. 22 Sept, 19:54Roll CallCourt rejects Capitol Police rules on demonstrations on Capitol steps—
    96. 23 Sept, 09:00NPR PoliticsPoll: Trust in the U.S. Postal Service delivering mail-in ballots on time has fallen10%
    97. 23 Sept, 23:08CBS News PoliticsJudge dismisses Trump's 2024 lawsuit against Iowa newspaper over poll results10%
    98. 23 Sept, 23:15AxiosJudge tosses Trump's lawsuit against Des Moines Register10%
    99. 24 Sept, 03:24The HillJudge tosses Trump’s suit against Iowa pollster10%
    100. 24 Sept, 09:00NPR PoliticsWarren demands Trump officials explain removing a ban on interference in census data10%
    101. 24 Sept, 14:41Fox News PoliticsBiden-appointed judge hands Letitia James setback in latest Trump legal clash10%
    102. 24 Sept, 15:34The HillDemocrats sue Trump administration over threats to deploy federal agents to polls10%
    103. 24 Sept, 16:11Washington PostCourt dismisses Trump lawsuit against Iowa pollster, Des Moines Register10%
    104. 24 Sept, 20:10Washington PostTrump is plowing ahead with an unpopular arch10%
    105. 24 Sept, 21:23DeadlineJudge Tosses Donald Trump’s Lawsuit Against Des Moines Register And Pollster Ann Selzer10%
    106. 25 Sept, 15:36Bloomberg.comSupreme Court Lets Trump Expand Database for Voter Verification10%
    107. 25 Sept, 15:39Bloomberg.comSupreme Court Reinstates Voter Database Expansion10%
    108. 25 Sept, 15:40NPR PoliticsThe Supreme Court revives a controversial data system for citizenship checks10%
    109. 25 Sept, 15:42The HillSupreme Court, overall liberal dissents, lets DHS overhaul immigration database for midterms10%
    110. 25 Sept, 15:52The Guardian USUS supreme court lifts restrictions on controversial voter database10%
    111. 25 Sept, 16:06Fox News PoliticsSupreme Court allows Trump admin to use federal voter eligibility database during appeal10%
    112. 25 Sept, 16:22News FeedUS Supreme Court lets Trump deploy voter database ahead of midterms10%
    113. 25 Sept, 16:25Bloomberg.comSCOTUS Lets Trump Expand Voter Database, Consumer Sentiment Down10%
    114. 25 Sept, 16:31CBS News PoliticsSupreme Court lets Trump administration use SAVE database for now10%
    115. 25 Sept, 16:48theinformation.comFederal Court Sides With Pentagon in Anthropic Dispute10%
    116. 25 Sept, 16:52France 24 - International breaking news, top stories and headlinesUS Supreme Court allows Trump to use controversial voter 'verification' system10%
    117. 25 Sept, 17:01Mother JonesSupreme Court Allows Trump to Use Flawed Database to Vet Voter Citizenship10%
    118. 25 Sept, 17:45Al Jazeera – Breaking News, World News and Video from Al JazeeraUS top court allows Trump to use controversial voter verification system10%
    119. 25 Sept, 17:48Roll CallSupreme Court revives expansion of federal voter database10%
    120. 25 Sept, 18:19AxiosTrump administration can use revamped voter screening tool for now, SCOTUS rules10%
    121. 25 Sept, 20:04The HillAnti-Trump attorney: 'Don't overreact' to Supreme Court voter database decision10%
    122. 25 Sept, 21:23AxiosTrump-appointed judge again holds admin in contempt over deportation10%
    123. 26 Sept, 00:24Times of IndiaTrump gets Supreme Court nod for voter citizenship checks weeks before midterms6%▼4 points since the previous source
12. NowCurrent odds11%