Yes
Implied probability 23%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves11 Nov 2026
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 23% |
| 21 Oct, 04:12 UTC | 23% |
| 18 Oct, 03:23 UTC | 15% |
| 17 Oct, 15:43 UTC | 18% |
| 17 Oct, 00:17 UTC | 16% |
| 16 Oct, 04:49 UTC | 23% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
Email me when the odds move
What counts
The market resolves to **Yes** if the U.S. Postal Service blocks at least 10,000 distinct mail-in or absentee ballots for the November 3, 2026 federal general election under Executive Order 14399 (or a materially equivalent measure) after issuance and before November 11, 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to **No**.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 23%
- No 77%