any 3rd Amendment case
Implied probability 6%−5
24-hour volume$57
Total volume$9k
Liquidity$9k
Resolves20 Jan 2029
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 6% |
| 24 Oct, 09:50 UTC | 6% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The market resolves to Yes if the Supreme Court agrees to hear any Third Amendment case before January 20, 2029. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the dismissal of a lower court lawsuit for the final resolution of the issue.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 6%
- No 95%