Texas Governor Candidate Gina Hinojosa Cites Disappointment in Both Parties Hot: $104k traded on its market in 24 hours
Democratic candidate Gina Hinojosa states that voters feel deep disappointment with both political parties as she campaigns for governor.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked article; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 39% |
| 25 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 39% |
| 24 Oct, 14:49 UTC | 40% |
The story so far
1 publisher has covered this in 1 article since 25 Oct 2026. CBS News Politics published first, on 25 October at 18:46 UTC.
3 prediction markets price this story:
- At least 48% — the market puts it at 39%, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Gina Hinojosa receives at least 48% of the certified popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. The outcome is No if she receives less than 48%. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the deadline, but the resolution depends solely on the final certified vote count.
- Gina Hinojosa — the market puts it at 34%, with $104k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if a Democrat wins and takes office as Texas governor after the 2026 election. The outcome is No if that does not happen. Readers often mistake the election date for the resolution deadline; the market resolves only when the winner is inaugurated.
- Gina Hinojosa, 2-4% — the market puts it at 16%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The outcome is Yes if Gina Hinojosa wins the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by a margin between 2% and 4%. The outcome is No if her victory margin falls outside that range or if she loses. Readers often mistake the linked news appearance for the final result, but only the official election margin determines the resolution.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
Sources
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Related prediction markets
Linked by software because they are about the same subject. Most ask a different question from the one this story reports, so read each market's own question. How often the link is right
- Kalshi At least 48% 39%
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Wrong market?
- Kalshi Gina Hinojosa 34% +4
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Gina Hinojosa, 2-4% 16%
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Gina Hinojosa
- Texas