Amy Acton's family condemns Vivek Ramaswamy ad featuring estranged mother Hot: $64k traded on its market in 24 hours
Ohio gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton and her brother criticize Republican opponent Vivek Ramaswamy for an ad featuring their estranged mother, Donna Arthur.
Headline and summary written by an AI model from the linked articles; not reviewed by a person. How this was made
First reported by The Hill, 3h 18m ahead of the next publisher · who breaks stories first
The odds
Each tick is a source publishing on this story
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 76% |
| 20 Oct, 19:21 UTC | 76% |
| 20 Oct, 18:59 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 17:53 UTC | 75% |
| 20 Oct, 17:17 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Oct, 16:49 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Oct, 16:13 UTC | 74% |
| 20 Oct, 13:37 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Oct, 11:55 UTC | 72% |
| 20 Oct, 09:04 UTC | 73% |
| 20 Oct, 06:36 UTC | 72% |
| 20 Oct, 05:47 UTC | 73% |
| 17 Oct, 16:02 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Oct, 14:46 UTC | 70% |
| 17 Oct, 13:34 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Oct, 12:20 UTC | 70% |
| 17 Oct, 08:39 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Oct, 05:02 UTC | 70% |
| 17 Oct, 03:49 UTC | 71% |
| 17 Oct, 01:23 UTC | 70% |
| 16 Oct, 19:13 UTC | 71% |
| 16 Oct, 17:55 UTC | 70% |
| 16 Oct, 05:14 UTC | 71% |
| 16 Oct, 01:35 UTC | 70% |
| 15 Oct, 23:15 UTC | 73% |
| 15 Oct, 20:45 UTC | 72% |
Replay the odds, article by article
Step through each article in the order it published and watch Amy Acton respond.
The story so far
4 publishers have covered this in 4 articles since 20 Oct 2026. The Hill published first, on 20 October at 13:19 UTC; politico.com followed 3h 18m later. The most recent article, from Rolling Stone, appeared on 20 October at 18:42 UTC.
Outlets reporting it: The Hill (major outlet), politico.com (major outlet), The Guardian US (major outlet), Rolling Stone.
2 prediction markets price this story:
- Amy Acton — the market puts it at 76%, with $64k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat wins and takes office as Ohio's governor in the 2026 election. It resolves to No if any other candidate wins or if no Democratic candidate is inaugurated. Readers often mistake the linked news story about Amy Acton's mother for the actual resolution criteria, but only the official election result matters.
- Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win — the market puts it at 59%, with $1k traded in the last 24 hours, closing 3 Nov 2027. The market resolves to Yes if a Democrat wins both the Ohio governor and Senate races. It resolves to No otherwise. Readers often mistake the linked story about Obama's campaign as the deciding factor, but only the actual election results matter.
Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.
How it unfolded
Every source in the order it published, with the odds on Amy Acton at that moment. A dash means the source published before we started tracking prices.
- The HillActon's estranged mother calls her a 'liar'; Democrat calls Ramaswamy 'despicable'72%
- politico.comOhio gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton’s campaign condemns ad featuring her estranged mother74%▲2 points since the previous source
- The Guardian USOhio Democrat’s family criticizes Vivek Ramaswamy for bringing up estranged mother in gubernatorial ad75%▲1 points since the previous source
- Rolling StoneDem Candidate’s Family Rips Vivek Ramaswamy Over ‘Despicable’ Attack Ad75%
- Current odds76%
Sources
Every article we clustered into this story. Headlines link to the publisher.
- Ohio Democrat’s family criticizes Vivek Ramaswamy for bringing up estranged mother in gubernatorial ad The Guardian US ·
- Ohio gubernatorial candidate Amy Acton’s campaign condemns ad featuring her estranged mother politico.com ·
- Acton's estranged mother calls her a 'liar'; Democrat calls Ramaswamy 'despicable' The Hill ·
- Dem Candidate’s Family Rips Vivek Ramaswamy Over ‘Despicable’ Attack Ad Rolling Stone
Markets on this story
- Kalshi Amy Acton 76% +5
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
- Kalshi Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win 59% −1
Does the market have this right?
Wrong market?
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In this story
- Amy Acton
- Vivek Ramaswamy
- Donna Arthur