At least 48%
Implied probability 39%
24-hour volume$0
Total volume$2k
Liquidity$2k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 39% |
| 25 Oct, 15:32 UTC | 39% |
| 24 Oct, 14:49 UTC | 40% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Gina Hinojosa receives at least 48% of the certified popular vote in the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election. The outcome is No if she receives less than 48%. Readers often mistake the date of the linked news story for the deadline, but the resolution depends solely on the final certified vote count.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 39%
- No 61%