Gina Hinojosa, 2-4%
Implied probability 16%
24-hour volume$1k
Total volume$13k
Liquidity$13k
Resolves3 Nov 2027
Price data
| Time | Chance of yes |
|---|---|
| now | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 11:14 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 05:51 UTC | 15% |
| 25 Oct, 04:36 UTC | 16% |
| 25 Oct, 03:16 UTC | 27% |
| 24 Oct, 20:23 UTC | 16% |
| 23 Oct, 20:07 UTC | 0% |
Your call. How does this end?
Free, no money involved. Calls are scored against the market's price when you make them, so backing an underdog that wins scores most. Leaderboard · Your calls
Does the market have this right?
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What counts
The outcome is Yes if Gina Hinojosa wins the 2026 Texas gubernatorial election by a margin between 2% and 4%. The outcome is No if her victory margin falls outside that range or if she loses. Readers often mistake the linked news appearance for the final result, but only the official election margin determines the resolution.
Written from Kalshi's resolution rules by the same model that writes our headlines. The rules on Kalshi are what decides it.
Outcomes
- Yes 16%
- No 84%