Tesla to wind down Cybertruck production in Texas next year for Cybercab

The story so far

7 publishers have covered this in 8 articles since 6 Nov 2026. Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews published first, on 6 November at 11:40 UTC; TechCrunch followed 9 min later. The most recent article, from South China Morning Post, appeared on 6 November at 13:31 UTC.

Outlets reporting it: TechCrunch (major outlet), The Guardian Business (major outlet), CNBC (major outlet), Engadget - Technology News & Expert Reviews, Hacker News, Quartz, South China Morning Post.

3 prediction markets price this story:

• Above 1.9 million — the market puts it at 25%, closing 31 Mar 2028. The market resolves to "Yes" if Tesla Inc. reports a total production figure above 1,900,000 units in 2026. Otherwise, it resolves to "No." Readers often mistake the deadline for the end of 2025 or assume any reported number counts, but only Tesla's official report for the full year of 2026 matters.
• Above 450,000 — the market puts it at 31%, closing 31 Jul 2027. The market resolves to Yes if Tesla reports a total production figure above 450,000 units for the first quarter of 2027. Otherwise, it resolves to No. Readers often mistake the deadline, thinking the count applies to the entire year or a different quarter.
• Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? — the market puts it at 0%, closing 1 Jan 2027. Tesla must hold the highest global market capitalization at the end of the trading day on December 31, 2026, to trigger the Yes outcome. Any other company holding that top spot results in a No outcome. Readers often mistake the date for the current year or assume mid-day valuations count instead of the official market close.

Odds are the market's probability that the outcome happens, updated every few minutes. They are information about what traders expect, not a forecast we make and not investment advice.